NFL Week 9 picks — It's safe to say that last week lived up to the hype.

Key Developments and Main Event

The Detroit Lions defeated the previously undefeated Minnesota Vikings, the Denver Broncos used a goal-line stand to hand Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs their second consecutive loss, and the Chicago Bears upset the Seahawks in Seattle with some help from trade-deadline addition Jeffery Simmons.

This weekend in the NFL, the Cincinnati Bengals and Atlanta Falcons will battle in Madrid, Jordan Love takes the Green Bay Packers to Foxborough to play the New England Patriots and Baker Mayfield gets a shot at Caleb Williams and the red-hot Bears. Which teams should you pick in Week 9, and which should you fade?

Core Facts and Essential Highlights

CBS Sports writers Jordan Dajani and Jared Dubin are here to break down the biggest games of the weekend. For clarity, lines for these selections were taken on Nov. 4 from DraftKings Sportsbook. Credit to CBS Sports Research for its hard work.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-10) at Baltimore Ravens (TNF) Dajani (Jaguars -10): It's tough to pick this game since we are unaware of the Baltimore Ravens' quarterback situation. Will they be starting rookie third-stringer Joe Fagnano, or someone else? I believe the Jaguars will win, but any team can cover a double-digit spread at home.

Broader Context and Market Implications

Jacksonville is a remarkable 14-3 over its last 17 games and is the only NFL team leading its division by three or more games. Trevor Lawrence leads the NFL in passer rating (112.6), while the Jags lead the league in points per game differential (+12.1).

Sure, you can say the Ravens will just ride Derrick Henry, but the Jaguars have what is statistically the No. 1 run defense in the NFL, and have gone 24 straight games without allowing a 75-yard rusher. … Prediction: Jaguars 28, Ravens 13 Dubin (Jaguars -10): The Ravens simply do not have the horses to compete with the Jaguars this week.

Not with their third-string quarterback (who is coming off an injury of his own), and not on a short week. Jacksonville should roll and win with relative ease. … Prediction: Jaguars 27, Ravens 6 Cincinnati Bengals (-3) vs. Atlanta Falcons (Madrid) Dajani (Falcons +3): I may take the upset here.

I'm aware the Falcons just registered one of the most embarrassing losses of the season in Tampa, but I'm willing to overlook that given how bad the weather was. I have some questions about the Bengals. Cornerback DJ Turner has a heel injury, and Cashius Howell just broke his wrist.

Then, this Cincy defense allowed the lowly Tennessee Titans to put up 440 yards of total offense last week and allowed the first Titans' 300-yard passing game since the 2023 season. Tony Pollard rushed for 117 yards and two touchdowns, so what is Bijan Robinson going to do?

Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are the best wide receiving duo in the league, but the Bengals may be due for their first loss in over a month.